Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 14 at the 57

New York Giants 15 – Washington Commanders 7

(1:55) 9-B.Wing punts 30 yards to WAS 27, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, downed by NYG-85-R.Ellison.

The Three Options

GO -1.46 EP

25% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 43, worth +3.22 EP
75% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 57, worth -3.02 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (74 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model