Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 6 at the 79

New York Giants 15 – Washington Commanders 7

(:18) 9-B.Wing punts 39 yards to WAS 40, Center-51-Z.DeOssie. 80-J.Crowder pushed ob at NYG 31 for 29 yards (9-B.Wing).

The Three Options

GO -1.74 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 73, worth +0.18 EP
60% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 79, worth -3.02 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model