Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 9 at the 74

New York Giants 3 – Jacksonville Jaguars 6

(5:27) 9-R.Dixon punts 31 yards to JAX 43, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.07 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.85 EP
67% chance to fail: Jacksonville Jaguars takes over around their own 74, worth -4.03 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model