Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 10 at the 62

Cincinnati Bengals 28 – Baltimore Ravens 7

(1:08) 10-K.Huber punts 43 yards to BAL 19, Center-46-C.Harris, fair catch by 84-J.Grant.

The Three Options

GO -1.49 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.30 EP
69% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 62, worth -3.20 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model