Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 8 at the 60

Pittsburgh Steelers 28 – Kansas City Chiefs 42

(12:23) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 59 yards to KC 1, Center-57-K.Canaday, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.73 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.72 EP
61% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 60, worth -2.90 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model