Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Denver Broncos 4th & 10 at the 85

Denver Broncos 14 – Baltimore Ravens 17

(:33) (Punt formation) 1-M.King punts 35 yards to 50, Center-42-C.Kreiter, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.60 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 75, worth +0.37 EP
67% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 85, worth -4.04 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (102 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model