Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 San Francisco 49ers 4th & 6 at the 71

San Francisco 49ers 7 – Kansas City Chiefs 21

(7:20) 5-B.Pinion punts 43 yards to KC 28, Center-86-K.Nelson, fair catch by 10-T.Hill.

The Three Options

GO -1.56 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.72 EP
56% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 71, worth -4.17 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model