Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 8 at the 64

Pittsburgh Steelers 14 – Baltimore Ravens 14

(13:02) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 42 yards to BAL 22, Center-57-K.Canaday. 14-T.White ran ob at BAL 26 for 4 yards.

The Three Options

GO -1.27 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +2.55 EP
62% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 64, worth -3.63 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model