Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 10 at the 67

Jacksonville Jaguars 0 – Kansas City Chiefs 0

(12:09) 9-L.Cooke punts 40 yards to KC 27, Center-46-C.Tinker, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.05 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +1.92 EP
66% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 67, worth -4.12 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model