Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 6 at the 68

New York Giants 3 – Carolina Panthers 14

(13:16) 9-R.Dixon punts 48 yards to CAR 20, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, fair catch by 18-D.Byrd.

The Three Options

GO -1.73 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +1.65 EP
59% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 68, worth -4.12 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model