Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 9 at the 74

Los Angeles Rams 0 – San Francisco 49ers 0

(13:03) 6-J.Hekker punts 50 yards to SF 24, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 13-R.James to SF 30 for 6 yards (59-M.Kiser).

The Three Options

GO -2.25 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.34 EP
60% chance to fail: San Francisco 49ers takes over around their own 74, worth -4.61 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model