Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Washington Commanders 4th & 4 at the 72

Washington Commanders 7 – New York Giants 3

(:41) 5-T.Way punts 54 yards to NYG 18, Center-57-N.Sundberg. 15-Q.Henderson pushed ob at NYG 37 for 19 yards (5-T.Way).

The Three Options

GO -1.30 EP

49% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 68, worth +0.76 EP
51% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 72, worth -3.28 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model