Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 8 at the 70

Pittsburgh Steelers 52 – Carolina Panthers 14

(9:34) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 28 yards to CAR 42, Center-57-K.Canaday, downed by PIT-54-L.Fort.

The Three Options

GO -1.52 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +1.95 EP
60% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 70, worth -3.86 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (87 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model