Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 9 at the 67

Minnesota Vikings 0 – Chicago Bears 3

(13:20) 6-M.Wile punts 49 yards to CHI 18, Center-47-K.McDermott, fair catch by 29-T.Cohen.

The Three Options

GO -1.78 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +2.10 EP
66% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 67, worth -3.77 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model