Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Green Bay Packers 4th & 8 at the 69

Green Bay Packers 0 – Minnesota Vikings 0

(11:22) 6-J.Scott punts 45 yards to MIN 24, Center-43-H.Bradley, fair catch by 35-M.Sherels.

The Three Options

GO -1.82 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +1.79 EP
61% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 69, worth -4.12 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model