Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Washington Commanders 4th & 6 at the 71

Washington Commanders 0 – Dallas Cowboys 7

(8:39) (Punt formation) 5-T.Way punts 52 yards to DAL 19, Center-57-N.Sundberg, downed by WAS-16-J.Chesson.

The Three Options

GO -1.97 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.23 EP
58% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 71, worth -4.30 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model