Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 New York Jets 4th & 6 at the 71

New York Jets 22 – Tennessee Titans 16

(7:30) (Punt formation) 4-L.Edwards punts 36 yards to TEN 35, Center-42-T.Hennessy, fair catch by 25-A.Jackson.

The Three Options

GO -1.86 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.45 EP
60% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 71, worth -4.08 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model