Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Carolina Panthers 4th & 6 at the 67

Carolina Panthers 20 – Los Angeles Rams 23

(10:43) 5-M.Palardy punts 40 yards to LA 27, Center-44-J.Jansen. 19-J.Natson pushed ob at LA 43 for 16 yards (56-J.Carter).

The Three Options

GO -1.37 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 61, worth +1.71 EP
57% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 67, worth -3.67 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model