Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 10 at the 80

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Carolina Panthers 0

(4:54) 6-J.Hekker punts 71 yards to CAR 9, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 14-R.McCloud to CAR 25 for 16 yards (20-T.Hill; 34-M.Brown).

The Three Options

GO -2.58 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.00 EP
62% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 80, worth -4.74 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model