Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 10 at the 57

Pittsburgh Steelers 19 – Seattle Seahawks 28

(6:02) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 46 yards to SEA 11, Center-57-K.Canaday, downed by PIT-44-T.Matakevich.

The Three Options

GO -1.08 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 47, worth +2.47 EP
67% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 57, worth -2.84 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (74 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model