Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 10 at the 90

Arizona Cardinals 20 – Carolina Panthers 35

(7:07) 5-Z.Gonzalez punts 44 yards to CAR 46, Center-46-A.Brewer, fair catch by 14-R.McCloud.

The Three Options

GO -3.09 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 80, worth +0.97 EP
66% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 90, worth -5.22 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (107 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model