Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 San Francisco 49ers 4th & 8 at the 70

San Francisco 49ers 20 – Los Angeles Rams 7

(5:58) 6-M.Wishnowsky punts 38 yards to LA 32, Center-89-G.Sanborn, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.17 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +1.41 EP
61% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 70, worth -2.82 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (87 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model