Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4th & 10 at the 67

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17 – New Orleans Saints 27

(5:19) (Shotgun) 3-J.Winston pass deep right intended for 13-M.Evans INTERCEPTED by 43-M.Williams at NO 45. 43-M.Williams for 55 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

The Three Options

GO -1.98 EP

What Happened

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +1.03 EP
66% chance to fail: New Orleans Saints takes over around their own 67, worth -3.55 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose GO ✓ matched the model