Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 7 at the 63

Jacksonville Jaguars 3 – Las Vegas Raiders 10

(3:55) 9-L.Cooke punts 48 yards to LV 15, Center-46-M.Orzech, downed by JAX-40-B.Watson.

The Three Options

GO -1.48 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +2.05 EP
61% chance to fail: Las Vegas Raiders takes over around their own 63, worth -3.75 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model