Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Carolina Panthers 4th & 5 at the 59

Carolina Panthers 10 – Seattle Seahawks 23

(13:47) 5-M.Palardy punts 41 yards to SEA 18, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 83-D.Moore.

The Three Options

GO -0.40 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.64 EP
57% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 59, worth -2.68 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (76 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model