Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 10 at the 60

Cincinnati Bengals 7 – Cleveland Browns 7

(7:12) (Punt formation) 10-K.Huber punts 60 yards to end zone, Center-46-C.Harris, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.17 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +3.03 EP
69% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 60, worth -3.08 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model