Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 5 at the 71

Seattle Seahawks 17 – Philadelphia Eagles 9

(5:03) 4-M.Dickson punts 40 yards to PHI 31, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 84-G.Ward.

The Three Options

GO -1.66 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 66, worth +1.21 EP
56% chance to fail: Philadelphia Eagles takes over around their own 71, worth -3.94 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model