Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Green Bay Packers 4th & 9 at the 88

Green Bay Packers 7 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(7:06) 6-J.Scott punts 55 yards to SEA 33, Center-43-H.Bradley, fair catch by 83-D.Moore.

The Three Options

GO -2.86 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 79, worth +0.68 EP
62% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 88, worth -5.04 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (105 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model