Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Tennessee Titans 4th & 17 at the 75

Tennessee Titans 0 – Arizona Cardinals 10

(:40) 6-B.Kern punts 45 yards to ARI 30, Center-46-M.Cox, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.22 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +2.87 EP
72% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 75, worth -4.19 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model