Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 12 at the 57

Cincinnati Bengals 0 – Minnesota Vikings 0

(5:08) 10-K.Huber punts 47 yards to MIN 10, Center-46-C.Harris, fair catch by 12-D.Westbrook.

The Three Options

GO -1.09 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 45, worth +3.02 EP
69% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 57, worth -2.93 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (74 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model