Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Washington Commanders 4th & 15 at the 72

Washington Commanders 7 – New York Giants 7

(8:30) 5-T.Way punts 50 yards to NYG 22, Center-54-C.Cheeseman, downed by WAS-47-K.Hudson.

The Three Options

GO -2.09 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +2.42 EP
70% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 72, worth -4.07 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model