Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Carolina Panthers 4th & 9 at the 73

Carolina Panthers 7 – Houston Texans 0

(1:44) 3-J.Charlton punts 37 yards to HOU 36, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 19-A.Roberts.

The Three Options

GO -1.86 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 64, worth +1.60 EP
62% chance to fail: Houston Texans takes over around their own 73, worth -3.99 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model