Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 7 at the 73

Minnesota Vikings 7 – Seattle Seahawks 10

(14:52) 3-J.Berry punts 49 yards to SEA 24, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 18-F.Swain.

The Three Options

GO -1.38 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 66, worth +1.89 EP
55% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 73, worth -4.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model