Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Las Vegas Raiders 4th & 7 at the 67

Las Vegas Raiders 0 – Los Angeles Chargers 7

(6:33) 6-A.Cole punts 54 yards to LAC 13, Center-47-T.Sieg. 84-K.Hill to LAC 24 for 11 yards (42-C.Littleton; 5-D.Deablo).

The Three Options

GO -1.64 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.61 EP
58% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 67, worth -3.96 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model