Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Green Bay Packers 4th & 7 at the 60

Green Bay Packers 27 – Pittsburgh Steelers 17

(2:00) 7-C.Bojorquez punts 45 yards to PIT 15, Center-43-H.Bradley. 14-R.McCloud ran ob at PIT 29 for 14 yards (44-T.Summers).

The Three Options

GO -1.31 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 53, worth +0.55 EP
59% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 60, worth -2.59 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model