Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 15 at the 75

Cincinnati Bengals 41 – Baltimore Ravens 17

(3:59) 10-K.Huber punts 59 yards to BAL 16, Center-46-C.Harris, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.30 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.45 EP
70% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 75, worth -3.90 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model