Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 6 at the 73

Los Angeles Chargers 17 – New England Patriots 24

(9:22) 1-T.Long punts 39 yards to NE 34, Center-54-M.Overton, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.32 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.90 EP
55% chance to fail: New England Patriots takes over around their own 73, worth -4.00 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model