Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Atlanta Falcons 4th & 6 at the 76

Atlanta Falcons 3 – New Orleans Saints 0

(11:36) 12-D.Colquitt punts 41 yards to NO 35, Center-47-J.Harris, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.04 EP

43% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.24 EP
57% chance to fail: New Orleans Saints takes over around their own 76, worth -4.50 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model