Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Baltimore Ravens 4th & 8 at the 63

Baltimore Ravens 3 – Minnesota Vikings 14

(9:14) 4-S.Koch punts 35 yards to MIN 28, Center-46-N.Moore, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.18 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.46 EP
61% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 63, worth -3.51 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model