Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 13 at the 86

Los Angeles Chargers 0 – Minnesota Vikings 0

(9:51) 1-T.Long punts 59 yards to MIN 27, Center-54-M.Overton. 12-D.Westbrook to LAC 28 for 45 yards (50-C.Christiansen).

The Three Options

GO -2.74 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 73, worth +1.46 EP
66% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 86, worth -4.92 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (103 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model