Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Green Bay Packers 4th & 6 at the 62

Green Bay Packers 36 – Los Angeles Rams 25

(12:52) 7-C.Bojorquez punts 61 yards to LA 1, Center-46-S.Wirtel, downed by GB-19-E.St. Brown.

The Three Options

GO -0.77 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +2.08 EP
54% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 62, worth -3.14 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model