Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New Orleans Saints 4th & 8 at the 73

New Orleans Saints 7 – Dallas Cowboys 10

(7:44) 4-B.Gillikin punts 52 yards to DAL 21, Center-49-Z.Wood. 7-T.Diggs to DAL 30 for 9 yards (24-D.Washington).

The Three Options

GO -1.84 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.88 EP
62% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 73, worth -4.16 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model