Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 12 at the 84

Dallas Cowboys 18 – Washington Commanders 0

(11:25) 5-B.Anger punts 43 yards to WAS 41, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 1-D.Carter.

The Three Options

GO -2.85 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 72, worth +1.10 EP
65% chance to fail: Washington Commanders takes over around their own 84, worth -4.95 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (101 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model