Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Jacksonville Jaguars 4th & 5 at the 55

Jacksonville Jaguars 0 – Tennessee Titans 10

(1:07) 9-L.Cooke punts 47 yards to TEN 8, Center-46-R.Matiscik, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.64 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.17 EP
58% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 55, worth -2.71 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model