Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Tennessee Titans 4th & 8 at the 68

Tennessee Titans 0 – Pittsburgh Steelers 0

(11:29) 6-B.Kern punts 50 yards to PIT 18, Center-46-M.Cox. 14-R.McCloud to PIT 35 for 17 yards (29-D.Cruikshank).

The Three Options

GO -1.82 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.71 EP
60% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 68, worth -4.16 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model