Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 10 at the 98

Seattle Seahawks 7 – Chicago Bears 0

(13:53) 4-M.Dickson punts 41 yards to SEA 43, Center-69-T.Ott. 83-D.Newsome to SEA 15 for 28 yards (19-P.Hart).

The Three Options

GO -3.51 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 88, worth +0.63 EP
61% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 98, worth -6.12 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (115 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model