Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 14 at the 79

Minnesota Vikings 0 – Green Bay Packers 6

(7:44) 3-J.Berry punts 55 yards to GB 24, Center-42-A.DePaola. 82-D.Moore to GB 34 for 10 yards (44-J.Metellus).

The Three Options

GO -2.59 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.54 EP
68% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 79, worth -4.55 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (96 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model