Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 9 at the 66

Philadelphia Eagles 0 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers 7

(4:34) 8-A.Siposs punts 36 yards to TB 30, Center-45-R.Lovato. 1-J.Darden to TB 30 for no gain (33-J.Scott).

The Three Options

GO -1.76 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +1.91 EP
64% chance to fail: Tampa Bay Buccaneers takes over around their own 66, worth -3.83 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model