Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Kansas City Chiefs 4th & 8 at the 56

Kansas City Chiefs 0 – Pittsburgh Steelers 0

(12:07) 5-T.Townsend punts 41 yards to PIT 15, Center-41-J.Winchester. 14-R.McCloud to PIT 23 for 8 yards (54-N.Bolton).

The Three Options

GO -0.34 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 48, worth +3.31 EP
60% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 56, worth -2.82 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (73 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model