Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 12 at the 77

Dallas Cowboys 6 – New York Giants 6

(8:08) 5-B.Anger punts 54 yards to NYG 23, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 80-R.James ran ob at NYG 23 for no gain.

The Three Options

GO -2.52 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.52 EP
66% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 77, worth -4.61 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (94 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model